สาเหตุหลักมาจากการเปลี่ยนรุ่น นักบินเกษียณ (สองในสามของความต้องการ) และการขยายฝูงบิน (หนึ่งในสามของความต้องการ) services.boeing.comAeromag Asia
ภูมิภาคที่มีความต้องการสูง: Eurasia, China และ North America ขณะเดียวกัน South Asia และ Southeast Asia เติบโตเร็วที่สุด คาดว่าความต้องการจะเพิ่มขึ้นเป็นหลายเท่า services.boeing.comAeromag Asia
Boeing forecasts that the global aviation industry will need nearly 2.4 million new professionals over the next 20 years.
Out of this, approximately 660,000 new commercial pilots will be required worldwide.
The demand is driven primarily by pilot retirements (two-thirds of the need) and fleet expansion (one-third of the need).
The regions with the highest demand will be Eurasia, China, and North America, while South Asia and Southeast Asia are projected to grow at the fastest rate.
CAE – 10-Year Forecast
CAE projects that the industry will need about 267,000 new commercial pilots worldwide in the next 10 years.
In addition, 33,000 new business aviation pilots will also be required.
Key drivers include:
34–35% of today’s pilots will retire within the next decade.
In the United States, over 53% of current pilots are older than 50.
Regional Focus – South Asia & Beyond
India alone is projected to require approximately 30,000 new pilots within the next 15–20 years.
To meet this growth, regulators and airlines are increasingly considering alternative training pathways such as the Multi-Crew Pilot Licence (MPL) to accelerate pilot readiness.
Summary at a Glance
Key Point
Details
Global (20 years)
Boeing projects ~660,000 new pilots needed worldwide (part of 2.4M total aviation professionals).
Asia-Pacific
Fastest growth, especially South Asia and Southeast Asia.
Next 10 years
CAE forecasts ~267,000 new commercial pilots.
Retirement wave
~35% of current pilots expected to retire within 10 years.
India
Needs ~30,000 new pilots in 15–20 years.
Training evolution
MPL and other modern training approaches being adopted.
✈️ This shows that the pilot profession remains one of the most in-demand careers worldwide, with Asia-Pacific becoming the center of growth.